Capital One Probability Of Bankruptcy - (NYSE:COF) | Macroaxis (2024)

COFStockUSD143.521.390.98%

Capital One's threat of distress is less than 3% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. Capital One's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Capital Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Capital balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Capital One Piotroski F Score and Capital One Altman Z Score analysis.

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Capital One's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

2021202220232024 (projected)
Interest Expense1.6B4.1B3.2B2.4BDepreciation And Amortization29M70M82M77.9M

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Capital One Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Capital One's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Capital One Financial is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Capital One probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Capital One odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Capital One Financial financial health.

Is Capital One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.45)

Dividend Share

2.4

Earnings Share

11.85

Revenue Per Share

68.936

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.004

The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Capital One is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Capital Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Capital One's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Capital One's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Capital One's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Capital One Financial has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Consumer Finance sector and 93.16% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Capital Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Capital One's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Capital One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Capital One by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Capital One is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Capital One Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01420.0064370.02870.01620.01020.0195
Asset Turnover0.07320.06770.07040.07520.10.13
Net Debt42.0B(638M)20.5B17.0B6.6B6.2B
Total Current Liabilities7.4B352M281M527M29.2B27.8B
Non Current Liabilities Total55.4B39.9B42.3B527M391.2B410.7B
Total Assets390.4B421.6B432.4B455.2B478.5B502.4B
Total Current Assets94.4B142.4B118.5B33.0B46.2B59.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities16.6B16.7B12.3B13.8B20.6B21.6B

Capital One ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Capital One's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Capital One's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

Capital Fundamentals

About Capital One Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Capital One Financial's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Capital One using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One Financial based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One Bank , National Association and Capital One, National Association, which provides various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Capital One Financial Corporation was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Capital One operates under Credit Services classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 55100 people.

Pair Trading with Capital One

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Capital One position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Capital One will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Capital Stock

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Moving against Capital Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Capital One could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Capital One when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Capital One - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Capital One Financial to buy it.

The correlation of Capital One is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Capital One moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Capital One Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Capital One can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

When determining whether Capital One Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Capital One's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Capital One's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Capital Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Check out Capital One Piotroski F Score and Capital One Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Capital Stock analysis

When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is Capital One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capital One. If investors know Capital will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capital One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.45)

Dividend Share

2.4

Earnings Share

11.85

Revenue Per Share

68.936

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.004

The market value of Capital One Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capital that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capital One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capital One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capital One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capital One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital One Probability Of Bankruptcy - (NYSE:COF) | Macroaxis (2024)

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