Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (2024)

Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (1)

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By John Aziz

last updated

The Federal Reserve, which issues the United States' monetary base (bank notes, coins, and bank reserves), has vastly increased its size since 2008 through quantitative easing programs — buying assets including Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities in open market operations with newly-created money:

Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (2)

With such soaring quantities of new money resulting from quantitative easing, many economists including John Williams, Peter Schiff, and Marc Faber have predicted imminent high or hyper inflation. But by the broadest measures, like MIT's Billion Prices Project, the predictions haven't played out. Inflation hasn't soared along with the monetary base.

And the money supply, which is different from the monetary base (the actual currency), hasn't really grown either. Bank notes and coins are the most tangible kind of dollars, but there are many more kinds of things called "dollars" that are used for exchange. Most obviously, credit. Banks create money through the fractional reserve banking system. Banks can lend — and thus create credit — up to 10 times their reserves on hand.

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Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (3)

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This means that while the monetary base has tripled, the M2 money stock — which includes both checking and savings accounts as well as traveler's checks, time deposits, and money market deposit accounts — has not increased nearly as much:

Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (4)

But even M2 does not encompass the entirety of the money supply. There exists another banking system — the shadow banking system— where credit expansion also takes place. Shadow credit creation takes place via securitization, a process by which debt-based assets like mortgages, credit card debt, and auto debt are pooled together and sold, and via repo, through which assets are pawned to a lender as collateral for credit.

One of the stories behind the 2008 crisis was the huge outgrowth of shadow credit creation that preceded it. Yet when the crisis hit, credit markets became spooked, shadow credit creation dried up, and the level of shadow assets began to deflate:

Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (5)

So the hidden story behind the quantitative easing programs is that the new base money that the Fed has pushed into the financial system has been replacing shadow credit that dried up after 2008. The Fed does not control the money supply — most of the money supply has been created through credit. The Fed can only control one small part of the money supply. This is shown in this chart of M4 — the total money supply, including shadow money — created by Professor Steve Hanke of the Cato Institute, with the monetary base issued by the Fed in olive:

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Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (6)

Even after all that quantitative easing, the money supply has still shrunk.

In fact, quantitative easing may be choking off shadow credit creation. As the Fed buys more and more assets, there are less assets left in the market that can be used as collateral for credit creation. This so-called "safe-asset shortage" is one factor that has driven the price of Treasuries as well as corporate bonds and even junk debt to record highs. If choking off shadow credit creation and replacing shadow money with traditional money was the Fed's implicit goal, then it is succeeding. But the money the Fed has issued since the crisis hasn't even made up for the shrinkage.

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John Aziz

John Aziz is the economics and business correspondent at TheWeek.com. He is also an associate editor at Pieria.co.uk. Previously his work has appeared on Business Insider, Zero Hedge, and Noahpinion.

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Does the Federal Reserve really control the money supply? (2024)

FAQs

Does the Federal Reserve control the money supply? ›

The Federal Reserve was created to manage the money supply of the nation and to prevent economic injuries to the citizens of the U.S. The Fed has powerful tools to affect the supply of money. Read on to learn how it manages the nation's money supply.

How does the Federal Reserve control the money supply choose all answers that are correct? ›

The Fed has three tools at its disposal to change the money supply: conducting open market operations, changing the required reserve ratio, and changing the discount rate relative to the federal funds rate. If the Fed wants to increase the money supply, it can lower the discount rate below the federal funds rate.

Is the Federal Reserve only responsible for controlling the money supply quizlet? ›

The Fed's responsibilities include controlling the money supply, clearing checks, and supervising and regulating banks.

What happened when the Federal Reserve limited the money supply? ›

Answer and Explanation: The correct answer is: A) The limited access to currency stifled business growth. The Federal Reserve limited the supply of money during the year 1931 due to the fear of attack against dollar. This resulted in heavy fluctuation in the economy and affected the growth of businesses in the country.

Who controls the money? ›

Just as Congress and the president control fiscal policy, the Federal Reserve System dominates monetary policy, the control of the supply and cost of money.

What are the criticism of the Federal Reserve? ›

Critics have questioned its effectiveness in managing inflation, regulating the banking system, and stabilizing the economy. Notable critics include Nobel laureate economist Milton Friedman and his fellow monetarist Anna Schwartz, who argued that the Fed's policies exacerbated the Great Depression.

What backs the money supply in the United States? ›

Government backs the money supply.

In the United States, the money supply is backed up by the government, which guarantees to keep the value of the money supply relatively stable.

How does the Federal Reserve regulate the money supply primarily by group of answer choices? ›

The Federal Reserve System primarily regulates the money supply by altering the reserves of commercial banks, largely through sales and purchases of government bonds. This tool of monetary policy allows the Federal Reserve to manage interest rates and credit conditions, thus influencing the level of economic activity.

How does the Federal Reserve control the money supply brainly? ›

Explanation: The Federal Reserve (the Fed) controls the money supply primarily through three tools: open market operations, setting reserve requirements, and adjusting the discount rate. These are the main mechanisms by which the Fed conducts monetary policy.

Is the Federal Reserve bank responsible for controlling the money supply True or false? ›

True or false. Here's the best way to solve it. True. The Federal Reserve Bank is responsible for controlling the money supply.

Why does the money supply actually matter? ›

An increase in the supply of money typically lowers interest rates, which in turn, generates more investment and puts more money in the hands of consumers, thereby stimulating spending. Businesses respond by ordering more raw materials and increasing production.

What is the controlling of the money supply by the Federal Reserve called? ›

The term "monetary policy" refers to the actions undertaken by a central bank, such as the Federal Reserve, to influence the availability and cost of money and credit to help promote national economic goals. The Federal Reserve Act of 1913 gave the Federal Reserve responsibility for setting monetary policy.

How is the money supply controlled? ›

Central banks conduct monetary policy by adjusting the supply of money, usually through buying or selling securities in the open market. Open market operations affect short-term interest rates, which in turn influence longer-term rates and economic activity.

Who backs the US money supply? ›

Government backs the money supply.

In the United States, the money supply is backed up by the government, which guarantees to keep the value of the money supply relatively stable.

Are reserves part of the money supply? ›

There are several standard measures of the money supply, including the monetary base, M1, and M2. The monetary base: the sum of currency in circulation and reserve balances (deposits held by banks and other depository institutions in their accounts at the Federal Reserve).

What the Federal Reserve System Cannot directly control? ›

It's important to remember that the Fed cannot directly control employment, inflation, or long-term interest rates. Rather, it uses a number of tools at its disposal to influence the availability and cost of money and credit.

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